Behind the poll headlines

26 Oct

Something to ponder…

Mitt Romney gained ground in the polls in the week or two after the Denver debate.

While that put him in a much stronger overall position in the race – it appears his support is dropping.

Since the Denver debate, the President has held the lead in 16 Ohio polls compared to 6 for Romney.

In Nevada, Obama has had the lead in 11 polls, to Romney’s 1.

Obama has led in all polls of Wisconsin since the Denver debate, and he has had five poll leads in Iowa to one for Romney.

So why does so many think Romney is in the lead?

It’s headlines that come with those polls – and few people read further than that.

While the debate gave Romney a boost in the polls, trends over the past two weeks have been almost zero.

In fact he is seesawing nationally within a range of roughly one percentage point.

Over the same period, the standings within the key battleground states have also remained constant.

Other poll tracking models have shown the same patterns.

What’s all this mean?

It’s a race to the finish line.

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